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Heracross — Paldea Evolved #194
Pull rate1 in 468 packs
Cost to pull~$7,521
Released2023-06

Heracross

Paldea Evolved · #194 · IR
$30.55fair value $29.24
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+14%Sales−29%Listings+6%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$30.55▼ −$3.60 (−10.5%)past 90 days
$32.22$33.59$34.95$30.55
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $30.55 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −12% expected return.Raw $30.55 → PSA 10 $350.00 · 11.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$30.55———High
PSA10$350.0011.5×$350.00 · Oct 225High
CGC10$45.001.5×$30.00 · Apr 270Med
SGC10$199.996.5×$199.99 · May 90Low
TAG10$230.007.5×$230.00 · May 20Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate19.9%
PSA graded3,095
PSA 10
61719.9%
PSA 9
1,59351.5%
PSA 8
70422.7%
PSA 7
1424.6%
6 & below
391.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC283 graded · 23.7% top · 1 Pristine
BGS38 graded · 0% top
SGC23 graded · 13% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings143131 sellers · +4% vs 7d
Sold / week12▼ 28.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure9% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +6%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 3Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B
55/100Solid hold

Heracross earns a 55/100 investment score and a B grade (solid hold). It's trading 4% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Paldea Evolved. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 5%
Grading edge-15%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.5
Scarcity
7.7
Stability
7.2
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