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Tropius — Paldea Evolved #195
Pull rate1 in 468 packs
Cost to pull~$7,521
Released2023-06

Tropius

Paldea Evolved · #195 · IR
$14.14fair value $10.51
▲ 34% overPriced above fair value.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+36%Sales+38%Listings+7%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$14.14▼ −$2.37 (−14.4%)past 90 days
$14.87$15.61$16.34$14.14
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $14.14 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −48% expected return.Raw $14.14 → PSA 10 $174.30 · 12.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$14.14———High
PSA10$174.3012.3×$200.00 · Oct 162High
CGC10$17.751.3×$20.50 · Jun 100Low
ACE10$90.066.4×$88.90 · Apr 190Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate21.3%
PSA graded896
PSA 10
19121.3%
PSA 9
42147%
PSA 8
23926.7%
PSA 7
323.6%
6 & below
131.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC153 graded · 13.7% top · 2 Pristine
BGS15 graded · 0% top
SGC24 graded · 20.8% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings137131 sellers · +13% vs 7d
Sold / week12▲ 37.5% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +7%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 6Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
37/100Avoid

Tropius earns a 37/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 34% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Paldea Evolved by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 6%
Grading edge-49%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.1
Scarcity
7.5
Stability
6.7
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