Raw market
Market
Hot$406.13
20.5 sales/wk 170 last 90d
Fair value
$443.07
Modeled daily.
vs Fair Value
★Lean−8%
UNDERVALUED
PSA 10 slab?How Market is measured The Market value is a robust median of PSA 10 sold prices — a 7-day window when the card sells ≥5/week, widening to 30–60 days for thin volume, with an outlier filter. The chart plots the individual sales, so a recent spike can ride above this median. Reading raw vs. slab The two “vs Fair Value” figures measure against different benchmarks, so they can point different directions without disagreeing. Raw is judged against the graded market — undervalued means the raw card is cheap relative to its PSA 10. Slab is judged against fundamentals — overvalued means the PSA 10 itself looks rich versus print scarcity, grading rates, and demand. Both can be true at once. 3,938 PSA 10 pop · 16% gem
Market
$4,743
Median PSA-10 sale · 225 sales
Fair value
$2,377
Modeled daily.
vs Fair Value
★★★Strong+100%
OVERVALUED
Model under-fits top chase grails (thin, hype-driven comps) — treat this PSA-10 verdict as low-confidence.
Price history · 30d
Raw market fair $443.07
PSA 10 slab PSA-10 sales · fair $2,377
Supply & Demand
Active listings · supply
67
Sold / wk · demand
17
▲ 29.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure26% · firm
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Active listings + the supply-trend gauge are eBay; sold/wk is TCGplayer. Demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ eBay active listings (soft → hot) — a relative read, not a literal sell-through, since the two venues differ (but track closely). Descriptive market context, not a forecast.
Grading opportunity
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab — expected margin after fees, gem rate, and turnaround.
+125%
≈ $606.52 expected net / card
Raw cost
$406.13
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
16%
Slab market
$4,743
Expected value per submission — the PSA-10 weighted by the 16% gem rate, ~raw recovered on the misses, after fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut.
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