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Orthworm — Paldea Evolved #224
Pull rate1 in 468 packs
Cost to pull~$7,521
Released2023-06

Orthworm

Paldea Evolved · #224 · IR
$6.37fair value $7.04
▼ 10% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+7%Sales0%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$6.37▼ −$0.39 (−5.8%)past 90 days
$6.11$6.52$6.72$6.37
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $6.37 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −58% expected return.Raw $6.37 → PSA 10 $159.28 · 25.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$6.37———High
PSA10$159.2825.0×$249.99 · Jul 200High
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate16.3%
PSA graded564
PSA 10
9216.3%
PSA 9
27949.5%
PSA 8
14926.4%
PSA 7
346%
6 & below
101.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC126 graded · 14.3% top · 1 Pristine
BGS15 graded · 0% top
SGC5 graded · 0% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings108101 sellers · -6% vs 7d
Sold / week9• 0.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 15Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
39/100Watch

Orthworm earns a 39/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 10% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Paldea Evolved. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-64%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.8
Scarcity
8.1
Stability
8.5
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