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Lycanroc ex — Paldea Evolved #241
Pull rate1 in 391 packs
Cost to pull~$6,283
Released2023-06

Lycanroc ex

Paldea Evolved · #241 · UR
$2.34fair value $2.01
▲ 16% overPriced above fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+4%Sales−40%Listings+4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$2.34▲ +$0.14 (+6.4%)past 90 days
$1.90$2.05$2.20$2.34
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.34 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −68% expected return.Raw $2.34 → PSA 10 $45.00 · 19.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.34———High
PSA10$45.0019.2×$54.99 · Sep 51Med
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$26.4011.3×$26.40 · May 40Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$17.407.4×$30.00 · Aug 271Med
TAG10$39.9517.1×$39.95 · Feb 30Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate41.6%
PSA graded226
PSA 10
9441.6%
PSA 9
11249.6%
PSA 8
156.6%
PSA 7
41.8%
6 & below
10.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC160 graded · 35.6% top · 11 Pristine
BGS9 graded · 0% top
SGC18 graded · 33.3% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings198190 sellers · -4% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 40.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 11Oct 24
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
31/100Avoid

Lycanroc ex earns a 31/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 16% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Paldea Evolved. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-76%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.5
Scarcity
5.1
Stability
8.4
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