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Luxray

Paldean Fates · #137 · SHB

Luxray — Paldean Fates #137

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$11.46

Recent trading $11.30

Trading in line with its recent sales.

Below recentRecentAbove recent

Price Running Ahead Price is climbing without demand to support it.

Listings +7% · Price +8%

Pull rate1 in 472 packs
Released2024-01

Investment Score

FAvoid
30-Day Move
n/a
Grading Edge
+28%
Time Window
30d

Luxray earns a 35/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's one of the pricier cards in Paldean Fates. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 28% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    2.5
  • Scarcity
    3.9
  • Stability
    8.3

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 6 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $225.00 · Aug 22, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$11.46
High0 sold · 30dno recent sale
PSA logo10$215.0018.8×
High2 sold · 30dlast $225 · Aug 22
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $39.993.5×
Low1 sold · 30dlast $31 · Aug 25
SGC logo10$68.005.9×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $68 · Apr 17
TAG logo10$65.005.7×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $65 · Feb 28
ACE logo10$53.824.7×
Low0 sold · 30dno recent sale

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate52.1%
Graded336
  • PSA 1017552.1%
  • PSA 914743.8%
  • PSA 8123.6%
  • PSA 720.6%
  • 6 & below00%
Other graders
CGC9361.3% top · 10 Pristine
BGS80% top
SGC4100% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Grading edge

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

+131%if it gems
≈ $119.78 net / card
Raw cost
$11.46
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
52%
Slab market
$215.00

Best case — the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut. PSA 10s happen about 52% of the time (the gem rate above); on a miss you roughly recover the raw cost.

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer · last 30 days
TCGplayer listings
97
93 TCGplayer sellers · -5% vs 7d
Sold / wk
17
Demand pressure18% · steady
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +7%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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