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Toxel — Paldean Fates #140
Pull rate1 in 472 packs
Released2024-01

Toxel

Paldean Fates · #140 · SHB
$4.46recent trading $4.39
≈ in its recent rangeTrading in line with its recent sales.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+4%Sales−33%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Recent trading is descriptive, not a forecast

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$4.46▲ +$0.65 (+17.1%)past 90 days
$3.69$3.96$4.23$4.46
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.46 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.46———High
CGC10$14.643.3×$14.27 · Sep 161Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate57.3%
PSA graded82
PSA 10
4757.3%
PSA 9
2834.1%
PSA 8
56.1%
PSA 7
22.4%
6 & below
00%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC67 graded · 56.7% top · 11 Pristine
BGS4 graded · 0% top
SGC4 graded · 25% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings9693 sellers · +1% vs 7d
Sold / week8.8▼ 33.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure9% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 15Oct 28
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
—
26/100Limited grading data

Toxel scores 26/100. We're withholding a letter grade because it has no PSA-10 graded price yet, so the score leans on demand signals. It sits mid-pack in Paldean Fates by price. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demandlimited data
1.3
Scarcity
3.3
Stability
8.1
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