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Sableye — Paldean Fates #184
Pull rate1 in 472 packs
Released2024-01

Sableye

Paldean Fates · #184 · SHB
$9.94recent trading $9.92
≈ in its recent rangeTrading in line with its recent sales.
Heating UpPrice and demand are rising together. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+10%Sales+129%Listings+16%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Recent trading is descriptive, not a forecast

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$9.94▲ +$1.32 (+15.3%)past 90 days
$8.57$9.17$10.37$9.94
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $9.94 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +31% expected return.Raw $9.94 → PSA 10 $204.00 · 20.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$9.94———High
PSA10$204.0020.5×$399.95 · Oct 161Med
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 12% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$103.2010.4×$103.20 · Jul 200Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$37.003.7×$18.00 · Oct 261Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate53.1%
PSA graded196
PSA 10
10453.1%
PSA 9
8141.3%
PSA 8
94.6%
PSA 7
21%
6 & below
00%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC88 graded · 59.1% top · 12 Pristine
BGS4 graded · 0% top
SGC6 graded · 100% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+123%if it gems≈ $110.66 net per card
Raw cost$9.94
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate53%break-even 38%
Slab market$204.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1053%$200.60PSA 941%$25.00PSA 85%$9.947 or lower1%$9.94
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $117.39 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 53% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings7876 sellers · +19% vs 7d
Sold / week10▲ 128.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure13% · soft
softhot
Supply trendbuilding · +16%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 3Oct 24
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
29/100Avoid

Sableye earns a 29/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's one of the pricier cards in Paldean Fates. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 26% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge+26%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.9
Scarcity
3.8
Stability
6.7
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