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Doduo — Paldean Fates #199
Pull rate1 in 472 packs
Released2024-01

Doduo

Paldean Fates · #199 · SHB
$4.71recent trading $4.79
≈ in its recent rangeTrading in line with its recent sales.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+15%Sales−41%Listings+7%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Recent trading is descriptive, not a forecast

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$4.71▲ +$0.31 (+7.0%)past 90 days
$4.26$4.49$4.95$4.71
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.71 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −53% expected return.Raw $4.71 → PSA 10 $57.08 · 12.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.71———High
PSA10$57.0812.1×$54.84 · Aug 300High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 15% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$41.508.8×$38.00 · Aug 20Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$14.123.0×$14.40 · Oct 121Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate60.9%
PSA graded115
PSA 10
7060.9%
PSA 9
4236.5%
PSA 8
21.7%
PSA 7
10.9%
6 & below
00%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC83 graded · 68.7% top · 15 Pristine
BGS3 graded · 0% top
SGC2 graded · 100% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings112106 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week10▼ 41.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure9% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +7%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 11Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
26/100Avoid

Doduo earns a 26/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It sits mid-pack in Paldean Fates by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-57%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.3
Scarcity
2.8
Stability
8.6
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