
Raw market
Market
Hot$1,012
26.3 sales/wk 194 last 90d
Fair value
$1,036
Modeled daily.
vs Fair Value
·Aligned±0%
FAIR
PSA 10 slab?How Market is measured The Market value is a robust median of PSA 10 sold prices — a 7-day window when the card sells ≥5/week, widening to 30–60 days for thin volume, with an outlier filter. The chart plots the individual sales, so a recent spike can ride above this median. Reading raw vs. slab The two “vs Fair Value” figures measure against different benchmarks, so they can point different directions without disagreeing. Raw is judged against the graded market — undervalued means the raw card is cheap relative to its PSA 10. Slab is judged against fundamentals — overvalued means the PSA 10 itself looks rich versus print scarcity, grading rates, and demand. Both can be true at once. 16,082 PSA 10 pop · 34% gem
Market
$3,321
Median PSA-10 sale · 618 sales
Fair value
$2,166
Modeled daily.
vs Fair Value
★★★Strong+53%
OVERVALUED
Model under-fits top chase grails (thin, hype-driven comps) — treat this PSA-10 verdict as low-confidence.
Price history · 30d
Raw market fair $1,036
PSA 10 slab PSA-10 sales · fair $2,166
Supply & Demand
Active listings · supply
65
Sold / wk · demand
16
▲ 6.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure24% · firm
softhot
Supply trendbuilding · +10%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Active listings + the supply-trend gauge are eBay; sold/wk is TCGplayer. Demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ eBay active listings (soft → hot) — a relative read, not a literal sell-through, since the two venues differ (but track closely). Descriptive market context, not a forecast.
Grading opportunity
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab — expected margin after fees, gem rate, and turnaround.
+63%
≈ $685.38 expected net / card
Raw cost
$1,012
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
34%
Slab market
$3,321
Expected value per submission — the PSA-10 weighted by the 34% gem rate, ~raw recovered on the misses, after fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut.
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