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Penny

Paldean Fates · #239 · SIR

Penny — Paldean Fates #239

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$14.42

DISCOUNT −52%

Modeled fair value $30.13

Trading well below fundamentals.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Supply Squeeze Available listings are drying up.

Listings 9% thinnerDemand holding15/wk sold

Raw and slab point different ways here, and both can be true: the raw card is cheap against its graded market, while the PSA 10 itself looks rich against fundamentals.

Pull rate1 in 465 packs
Cost to pull~$11,053
Released2024-01
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

DWatch
30-Day Move
-13%
Grading Edge
-28%
Time Window
30d

Penny earns a 42/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 52% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Paldean Fates. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    3.2
  • Scarcity
    4.7
  • Stability
    8.4

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 26 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $137.00 · Sep 7, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$14.42
High4 sold · 30dlast $19 · Sep 9
PSA logo10$132.259.2×
High11 sold · 30dlast $137 · Sep 7
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $54.503.8×
High0 sold · 30dlast $35 · Aug 9
TAG logo10$120.008.3×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $140 · May 5
ACE logo10$58.934.1×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $61 · Jul 29

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate45.1%
Graded4,014
  • PSA 101,81245.1%
  • PSA 91,82945.6%
  • PSA 83288.2%
  • PSA 7310.8%
  • 6 & below140.3%
Other graders
CGC53446.4% top · 52 Pristine
BGS590% top
SGC3154.8% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer listings
206
193 TCGplayer sellers · +7% vs 7d
Sold / wk
15
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -9%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

See every card priced like this.

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