Groudon
Paradox Rift · #199 · IR$92.65fair value $93.56
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Market readSimilar cards →
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−8%Sales−11%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$92.65▼ −$27.94 (−23.2%)past 90 days
$105$115$125$92.65
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $92.65 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +25% expected return.Raw $92.65 → PSA 10 $481.00 · 5.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$92.65———High
PSA10$481.005.2×$515.00 · Oct 2634High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 4.8% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$720.007.8×$730.00 · Sep 280Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$198.982.1×$162.50 · Oct 146High
SGC10$116.251.3×$110.00 · Sep 220Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate33%
PSA graded18,018
PSA 10
5,93933%
PSA 9
9,57253.1%
PSA 8
1,99211.1%
PSA 7
3131.7%
6 & below
2021.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC1,013 graded · 41.3% top · 51 Pristine
BGS389 graded · 0% top
SGC107 graded · 27.1% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+174%if it gems≈ $300.93 net per card
Raw cost$92.65
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate33%break-even 22%
Slab market$481.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 33% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1033%$473.58PSA 953%$89.50PSA 811%$89.507 or lower3%$89.50
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $216.25 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings143124 sellers · -7% vs 7d
Sold / week9.3▼ 11.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 5Oct 25
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
67/100Core hold
S+SABCDF
Groudon earns a 67/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 1% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Paradox Rift. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 28% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 19%
Grading edge+28%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.6
Scarcity
6.2
Stability
7.7
