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Mela — Paradox Rift #254
Pull rate1 in 712 packs
Cost to pull~$6,052
Released2023-11

Mela

Paradox Rift · #254 · SIR
$9.82fair value $9.39
▲ 5% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales+150%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$9.82▲ +$1.39 (+16.5%)past 90 days
$8.47$8.95$9.44$9.82
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $9.82 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −63% expected return.Raw $9.82 → PSA 10 $72.00 · 7.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$9.82———High
PSA10$72.007.3×$72.00 · Oct 234High
CGC10$25.202.6×$19.99 · Oct 31Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate33.7%
PSA graded1,518
PSA 10
51133.7%
PSA 9
81653.8%
PSA 8
16811.1%
PSA 7
140.9%
6 & below
90.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC305 graded · 47.5% top · 14 Pristine
BGS25 graded · 0% top
SGC38 graded · 60.5% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings143136 sellers · +1% vs 7d
Sold / week13▲ 150.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure9% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 21Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
33/100Avoid

Mela earns a 33/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 5% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Paradox Rift by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-66%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.4
Scarcity
6.0
Stability
8.6
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