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Roaring Moon ex — Paradox Rift #262
Pull rate1 in 576 packs
Cost to pull~$4,896
Released2023-11

Roaring Moon ex

Paradox Rift · #262 · HR
$5.82fair value $7.84
▼ 26% underTrading well below fundamentals.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales−10%Listings−4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$5.82▼ −$0.92 (−13.6%)past 90 days
$6.29$6.72$7.14$5.82
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $5.82 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −57% expected return.Raw $5.82 → PSA 10 $69.99 · 12.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$5.82———High
PSA10$69.9912.0×$69.88 · Sep 10High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 4.3% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$61.0010.5×$61.00 · Aug 220Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$31.005.3×$17.50 · Oct 31High
SGC10$24.004.1×$11.50 · Apr 290Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate37.6%
PSA graded1,932
PSA 10
72737.6%
PSA 9
91947.6%
PSA 8
23812.3%
PSA 7
331.7%
6 & below
150.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC466 graded · 40.1% top · 21 Pristine
BGS48 graded · 0% top
SGC55 graded · 63.6% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings185171 sellers · -3% vs 7d
Sold / week10▼ 10.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 24Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
39/100Watch

Roaring Moon ex earns a 39/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 26% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Paradox Rift by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-65%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.6
Scarcity
5.6
Stability
8.5
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