Dawn
Phantasmal Flames · #118 · UR$5.55fair value $2.68
▲ 107% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−10%Sales−16%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$5.51▼ −$0.54 (−8.9%)past 90 days
$4.20$4.77$5.92$5.51
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $5.51 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −65% expected return.Raw $5.55 → PSA 10 $40.25 · 7.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$5.55———High
PSA10$40.257.3×$38.65 · Oct 1521High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 29% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$40.007.2×$55.18 · Oct 114High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$21.603.9×$15.00 · Oct 247High
BGS10$134.9924.3×$121.00 · May 170Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate61.9%
PSA graded4,718
PSA 10
2,92061.9%
PSA 9
1,41930.1%
PSA 8
2896.1%
PSA 7
551.2%
6 & below
350.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC394 graded · 67.5% top · 162 Pristine
BGS106 graded · 0% top
SGC6 graded · 33.3% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings672652 sellers · -3% vs 7d
Sold / week40▼ 15.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 28Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
36/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Dawn earns a 36/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 107% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Phantasmal Flames. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades actively.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-68%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.5
Scarcity
2.7
Stability
5.1
