Mega Charizard X ex
Phantasmal Flames · #130 · MHR$188.03fair value $248.65
▼ 24% underPriced below fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−17%Sales−35%Listings−4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$188.03▼ −$138.10 (−42.3%)past 90 days
$237$277$317$188.03
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $188.03 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +51% expected return.Raw $188.03 → PSA 10 $2,157.65 · 11.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$188.03———High
PSA10$2,157.6511.5×$1,900.00 · Oct 2727High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.3% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$2,350.0012.5×$2,350.00 · Oct 132Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$810.004.3×$478.17 · Oct 258High
SGC10$256.001.4×$256.00 · Jul 240Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate10.1%
PSA graded19,786
PSA 10
1,99110.1%
PSA 9
11,03255.8%
PSA 8
5,83829.5%
PSA 7
5913%
6 & below
3341.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC1,157 graded · 29.4% top · 40 Pristine
BGS1,110 graded · 0% top
SGC21 graded · 0% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+666%if it gems≈ $1,785.99 net per card
Raw cost$188.03
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate10%break-even 3%
Slab market$2,157.65
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 10% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1010%$2,054.02PSA 956%$233.00PSA 829%$196.007 or lower5%$196.00
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $404.28 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings162138 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 35.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 13Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
S+
85/100Cornerstone
S+SABCDF
Mega Charizard X ex earns a 85/100 investment score and an S+ grade (cornerstone). It's trading 24% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Phantasmal Flames. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 44% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 22%
Grading edge+44%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
8.7
Scarcity
9.9
Stability
6.0
