Mega Charizard Y ex
Ascended Heroes · #294 · MHR$239.80fair value $362.45
▼ 34% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−45%Sales+167%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$239.80▼ −$208.74 (−46.5%)past 90 days
$314$374$435$239.80
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $239.80 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +86% expected return.Raw $239.80 → PSA 10 $2,019.49 · 8.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$239.80———High
PSA10$2,019.498.4×$1,800.00 · Oct 2636High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.6% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$2,180.009.1×$1,350.00 · Oct 191Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$914.103.8×$425.69 · Oct 183High
TAG10$1,200.005.0×$1,200.00 · Oct 253High
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate20.1%
PSA graded7,373
PSA 10
1,48120.1%
PSA 9
3,98254%
PSA 8
1,59421.6%
PSA 7
2373.2%
6 & below
791.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC397 graded · 28.5% top · 28 Pristine
BGS391 graded · 0% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+492%if it gems≈ $1,574.35 net per card
Raw cost$239.80
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate20%break-even 3%
Slab market$2,019.49
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 20% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1020%$1,894.15PSA 954%$294.12PSA 822%$211.257 or lower4%$211.25
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $594.23 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings136118 sellers · 0% vs 7d
Sold / week13▲ 166.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure10% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 3Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
A+
77/100Core hold
S+SABCDF
Mega Charizard Y ex earns a 77/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 34% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Ascended Heroes. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 87% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 27%
Grading edge+87%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.8
Scarcity
9.9
Stability
4.4
