Charizard ex
Paldean Fates · #234 · SIR$256.52fair value $247.11
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−21%Sales+100%Listings0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$256.52▼ −$41.83 (−14.0%)past 90 days
$271$283$296$256.52
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $256.52 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +18% expected return.Raw $256.52 → PSA 10 $678.75 · 2.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$256.52———High
PSA10$678.752.6×$669.99 · Oct 2766High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.1% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$850.003.3×$674.00 · Oct 212High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$362.001.4×$375.00 · Oct 2721High
BGS10$2,695.0010.5×$2,499.99 · Sep 110Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate39.9%
PSA graded41,410
PSA 10
16,50639.9%
PSA 9
19,50747.1%
PSA 8
4,17210.1%
PSA 7
7601.8%
6 & below
4651.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC2,684 graded · 46.8% top · 175 Pristine
BGS1,343 graded · 0% top
SGC275 graded · 54.9% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+98%if it gems≈ $330.90 net per card
Raw cost$256.52
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate40%break-even 26%
Slab market$678.75
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 40% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1040%$667.42PSA 947%$217.75PSA 810%$217.757 or lower3%$217.75
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $397.17 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings9980 sellers · -5% vs 7d
Sold / week8.3▲ 100.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · 0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 3Oct 21
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
A+
74/100Core hold
S+SABCDF
Charizard ex earns a 74/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 4% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Paldean Fates. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 26% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 3%
Grading edge+26%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.8
Scarcity
5.3
Stability
8.1
