Charizard V
Brilliant Stars · #154 · AAV$272.43fair value $239.76
▲ 14% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Market readSimilar cards →
Mixed SignalsThe signals conflict, no clear read right now. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−17%Sales+300%Listings+8%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$272.43▼ −$62.65 (−18.7%)past 90 days
$291$311$331$272.43
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $272.43 · Oct 28, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +31% expected return.Raw $272.43 → PSA 10 $697.46 · 2.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$272.43———High
PSA10$697.462.6×$755.00 · Oct 2782High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.0% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$870.003.2×$739.00 · Oct 264High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$405.001.5×$450.00 · Oct 278High
BGS10$2,375.008.7×$2,749.99 · Oct 51Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate49.7%
PSA graded33,363
PSA 10
16,58049.7%
PSA 9
12,83438.5%
PSA 8
2,7428.2%
PSA 7
5781.7%
6 & below
6291.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC3,692 graded · 38.4% top · 235 Pristine
BGS1,784 graded · 0% top
SGC473 graded · 31.1% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+96%if it gems≈ $338.16 net per card
Raw cost$272.43
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate50%break-even 25%
Slab market$697.46
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 50% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1050%$690.59PSA 939%$247.61PSA 88%$223.007 or lower4%$182.50
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $462.95 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings11594 sellers · +9% vs 7d
Sold / week5.8▲ 300.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +8%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 4Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
71/100Core hold
S+SABCDF
Charizard V earns a 71/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 14% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Brilliant Stars. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 37% ROI. It trades thinly.
30-day move▼ 5%
Grading edge+37%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.6
Scarcity
4.2
Stability
8.4
