Charizard ex
151 · #199 · SIR$296.90fair value $261.46
▲ 14% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Market readSimilar cards →
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−11%Sales+23%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$296.90▼ −$71.95 (−19.5%)past 90 days
$324$347$371$296.90
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $296.90 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +64% expected return.Raw $296.90 → PSA 10 $1,365.00 · 4.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$296.90———High
PSA10$1,365.004.6×$990.00 · Oct 2623High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.8% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$2,020.006.8×$1,676.50 · Oct 42High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$661.002.2×$634.84 · Oct 1719High
SGC10$420.001.4×$787.77 · Jul 280Med
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate27.3%
PSA graded105,309
PSA 10
28,72427.3%
PSA 9
50,80348.2%
PSA 8
20,51719.5%
PSA 7
3,9123.7%
6 & below
1,3531.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC5,853 graded · 32% top · 229 Pristine
BGS3,557 graded · 0% top
SGC774 graded · 40.2% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+257%if it gems≈ $967.83 net per card
Raw cost$296.90
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate27%break-even 3%
Slab market$1,365.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 27% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1027%$1,344.73PSA 948%$367.00PSA 819%$300.007 or lower5%$300.00
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $617.51 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings234194 sellers · -6% vs 7d
Sold / week12▲ 22.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 26Oct 26
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
S
83/100Cornerstone
S+SABCDF
Charizard ex earns a 83/100 investment score and an S grade (cornerstone). It's trading 14% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in 151. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 56% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 15%
Grading edge+56%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
8.9
Scarcity
6.8
Stability
7.7
