Mega Excadrill ex
Pitch Black · #103 · UR
Mega Excadrill ex
Pitch Black · #103 · UR
Overview
Fair-value verdict
Raw
$7.26
PREMIUM +139%Modeled fair value $3.04
Priced above fair value.
Demand Fading Demand is softening.
Sales −48% · Listings +7% · Price −31%
Investment Score
Mega Excadrill ex scores 39/100. We're withholding a letter grade because it has no PSA-10 graded price yet, so the score leans on demand signals. It's trading 139% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Pitch Black by price. It trades actively.
- Demandlimited data3.8
- Scarcitylimited data5.0
- Stability3.0
This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.
Price chart
Price history
Sep 12, 2026
Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.| Grade | Price | × Raw | Last sale | Sales (30d) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw | $7.26 | — | — | — | High |
 10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. | $139.99 | 19.3× | $140 Aug 22 | 1 | Low |
 10 | $31.03 | 4.3× | $31 Aug 9 | 1 | Low |
10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $139.9919.3×10$31.034.3×Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.
Market
Supply & Demand
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.
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