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Excadrill ex — Black Bolt #168
Pull rate1 in 1,120 packs
Cost to pull~$15,792
Released2025-07

Excadrill ex

Black Bolt · #168 · SIR
$19.56fair value $17.60
▲ 11% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−11%Sales−61%Listings+7%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$19.56▼ −$3.83 (−16.4%)past 90 days
$21.13$22.50$23.88$19.56
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $19.56 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −45% expected return.Raw $19.56 → PSA 10 $69.33 · 3.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$19.56———High
PSA10$69.333.5×$75.00 · Oct 2513High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 23% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$68.403.5×$91.00 · Oct 253High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$29.801.5×$17.40 · Oct 197High
TAG10$79.004.0×$87.99 · Sep 140Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate72.2%
PSA graded3,306
PSA 10
2,38872.2%
PSA 9
80224.3%
PSA 8
942.8%
PSA 7
100.3%
6 & below
120.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC124 graded · 62.9% top · 37 Pristine
BGS52 graded · 0% top
SGC4 graded · 25% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings109106 sellers · -3% vs 7d
Sold / week9.3▼ 61.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +7%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 7Oct 23
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
32/100Avoid

Excadrill ex earns a 32/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 11% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Black Bolt by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 6%
Grading edge-44%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.8
Scarcity
1.5
Stability
7.2
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