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Flareon ex — Prismatic Evolutions #146
Pull rate1 in 1,440 packs
Cost to pull~$19,930
Released2025-01

Flareon ex

Prismatic Evolutions · #146 · SIR
$167.29fair value $173.48
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−7%Sales+900%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$167.29▼ −$60.24 (−26.5%)past 90 days
$188$206$224$167.29
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $167.29 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +10% expected return.Raw $167.29 → PSA 10 $546.25 · 3.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$167.29———High
PSA10$546.253.3×$468.00 · Oct 2637High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 9.2% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$680.004.1×$611.00 · Oct 92High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$237.501.4×$240.00 · Oct 193High
BGS10$456.362.7×$588.00 · Oct 193Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate32.2%
PSA graded11,211
PSA 10
3,61132.2%
PSA 9
5,90252.6%
PSA 8
1,44712.9%
PSA 7
1791.6%
6 & below
720.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC471 graded · 42.9% top · 48 Pristine
BGS362 graded · 0% top
SGC15 graded · 26.7% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+115%if it gems≈ $284.79 net per card
Raw cost$167.29
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate32%break-even 26%
Slab market$546.25
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1032%$532.08PSA 953%$154.00PSA 813%$131.757 or lower2%$131.75
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $272.38 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 32% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings8974 sellers · +9% vs 7d
Sold / week6.3▲ 900.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Jul 31Oct 21
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
65/100Solid hold

Flareon ex earns a 65/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 4% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Prismatic Evolutions. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 17% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 20%
Grading edge+17%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.3
Scarcity
6.5
Stability
8.0
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