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Alcremie VMAX — Shining Fates #73
Pull rate1 in 84 packs
Cost to pull~$1,522
Released2021-02

Alcremie VMAX

Shining Fates · #73 · RBW
$4.10fair value $10.08
▼ 59% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Mixed SignalsThe signals conflict, no clear read right now. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−1%Sales+34%Listings+9%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$4.08▼ −$0.82 (−16.7%)past 90 days
$3.61$4.62$5.13$4.08
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.08 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −55% expected return.Raw $4.10 → PSA 10 $50.99 · 12.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.10———High
PSA10$50.9912.4×$50.00 · Sep 301High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.8% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$27.606.7×$22.80 · Oct 260High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$18.734.6×$24.00 · Oct 262High
BGS10$22.805.6×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate66.9%
PSA graded2,231
PSA 10
1,49366.9%
PSA 9
58926.4%
PSA 8
934.2%
PSA 7
210.9%
6 & below
351.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC2,116 graded · 36.1% top · 204 Pristine
BGS75 graded · 0% top
SGC149 graded · 49.7% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings317289 sellers · -20% vs 7d
Sold / week53▲ 34.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure17% · steady
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +9%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 13Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
37/100Avoid

Alcremie VMAX earns a 37/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 59% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Shining Fates. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades actively.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-58%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.1
Scarcity
2.1
Stability
8.8
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