Tatsugiri ex
Surging Sparks · #226 · UR$1.69fair value $3.21
▼ 47% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Market readSimilar cards →
Supply BuildingListings are piling up faster than they sell. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+0%Sales−2%Listings+14%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$1.78▼ −$0.03 (−1.7%)past 90 days
$1.60$1.92$2.08$1.78
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $1.78 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −55% expected return.Raw $1.69 → PSA 10 $59.94 · 35.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$1.69———High
PSA10$59.9435.5×$61.75 · Sep 162High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 14% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$42.0024.9×$48.00 · Oct 192High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$17.0010.1×$16.80 · Oct 52High
TAG10$55.0032.5×—0Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate47.3%
PSA graded1,015
PSA 10
48047.3%
PSA 9
45444.7%
PSA 8
636.2%
PSA 7
90.9%
6 & below
90.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC351 graded · 51.6% top · 59 Pristine
BGS24 graded · 0% top
SGC11 graded · 36.4% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings400389 sellers · -1% vs 7d
Sold / week15▼ 1.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendbuilding · +14%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 23Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
33/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Tatsugiri ex earns a 33/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 47% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Surging Sparks. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-64%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.0
Scarcity
4.4
Stability
8.2
