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Tatsugiri — Twilight Masquerade #186
Pull rate1 in 272 packs
Cost to pull~$2,576
Released2024-05

Tatsugiri

Twilight Masquerade · #186 · IR
$21.09fair value $25.16
▼ 16% underPriced below fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales+7%Listings−0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$21.08▼ −$0.77 (−3.5%)past 90 days
$20.10$22.75$24.08$21.08
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $21.08 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −20% expected return.Raw $21.09 → PSA 10 $155.63 · 7.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$21.09———High
PSA10$155.637.4×$155.64 · Oct 2518High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.2% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$160.007.6×$249.95 · Oct 51Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$54.012.6×$55.00 · Oct 202High
TAG10$147.617.0×$200.00 · Oct 212Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate40.8%
PSA graded9,412
PSA 10
3,83640.8%
PSA 9
4,24545.1%
PSA 8
95710.2%
PSA 7
2262.4%
6 & below
1481.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC746 graded · 48.9% top · 67 Pristine
BGS121 graded · 0% top
SGC42 graded · 21.4% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings162155 sellers · -7% vs 7d
Sold / week12▲ 7.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 4Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B
53/100Solid hold

Tatsugiri earns a 53/100 investment score and a B grade (solid hold). It's trading 16% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 8%
Grading edge-25%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.6
Scarcity
5.2
Stability
8.9
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