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Latias ex

Surging Sparks · #239 · SIR

Latias ex — Surging Sparks #239

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$189.67

PREMIUM +17%

Modeled fair value $162.38

Priced above fair value.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Supply Building Listings are piling up faster than they sell.

Listings +9% · Price +2%

Raw and slab point different ways here, and both can be true: the raw card is expensive against its graded market, while the PSA 10 itself looks cheap against fundamentals.

Pull rate1 in 960 packs
Cost to pull~$7,594
Released2024-11
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

ACore hold
30-Day Move
+8%
Grading Edge
+12%
Time Window
30d

Latias ex earns a 70/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 17% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Surging Sparks. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 12% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    7.0
  • Scarcity
    5.9
  • Stability
    8.8

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

Market pace

Gone quiettrading slower than the market right now

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 104 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $545.26 · Sep 11, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$189.67
High0 sold · 30dlast $190 · Sep 5
PSA logo10$504.672.7×
High38 sold · 30dlast $545 · Sep 11
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $238.501.3×
High5 sold · 30dlast $215 · Sep 2
BGS logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The BGS 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $900.004.8×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $900 · Aug 1
TAG logo10$410.002.2×
High1 sold · 30dlast $410 · Aug 28
ACE logo10$288.241.5×
High2 sold · 30dlast $310 · Aug 30

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate35.4%
Graded20,222
  • PSA 107,16035.4%
  • PSA 910,49651.9%
  • PSA 82,19910.9%
  • PSA 72141.1%
  • 6 & below1530.8%
Other graders
CGC73449% top · 72 Pristine
BGS5350% top
SGC4325.6% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Grading edge

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

+82%if it gems
≈ $222.44 net / card
Raw cost
$189.67
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
35%
Slab market
$504.67

Best case — the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut. PSA 10s happen about 35% of the time (the gem rate above); on a miss you roughly recover the raw cost.

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer listings
78
69 TCGplayer sellers · +10% vs 7d
Sold / wk
16
Demand pressure20% · steady
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +9%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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