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Jasmine's Gaze — Surging Sparks #245
Pull rate1 in 960 packs
Cost to pull~$8,515
Released2024-11

Jasmine's Gaze

Surging Sparks · #245 · SIR
$19.81fair value $12.98
▲ 53% overPriced above fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales−57%Listings−5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$19.84▼ −$3.33 (−14.4%)past 90 days
$21.02$21.99$22.95$19.84
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $19.84 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −62% expected return.Raw $19.81 → PSA 10 $71.00 · 3.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$19.81———High
PSA10$71.003.6×$79.99 · Oct 167High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 13% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$64.803.3×$62.00 · Oct 222Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$36.501.8×$18.00 · Oct 261High
TAG10$64.883.3×$105.00 · Jun 130Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate31%
PSA graded4,449
PSA 10
1,37731%
PSA 9
2,48955.9%
PSA 8
51011.5%
PSA 7
400.9%
6 & below
330.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC242 graded · 48.3% top · 37 Pristine
BGS76 graded · 0% top
SGC19 graded · 42.1% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings227214 sellers · +2% vs 7d
Sold / week8.3▼ 57.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 19Oct 24
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
39/100Watch

Jasmine's Gaze earns a 39/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 53% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Surging Sparks. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 4%
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.3
Scarcity
6.3
Stability
8.9
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