Skip to main content
HyperPotion
Lisia's Appeal — Surging Sparks #246
Pull rate1 in 960 packs
Cost to pull~$8,515
Released2024-11

Lisia's Appeal

Surging Sparks · #246 · SIR
$21.97fair value $17.32
▲ 27% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−9%Sales−15%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trial

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$22.09▼ −$5.38 (−19.6%)past 90 days
$24.44$26.52$28.60$22.09
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $22.09 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −54% expected return.Raw $21.97 → PSA 10 $81.00 · 3.7×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$21.97———High
PSA10$81.003.7×$81.00 · Oct 225High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 9.9% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$138.006.3×$127.00 · Aug 310Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$45.002.0×$44.99 · Oct 62High
TAG10$105.254.8×$85.00 · Jul 240Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate29.8%
PSA graded7,351
PSA 10
2,18729.8%
PSA 9
4,13456.2%
PSA 8
90112.3%
PSA 7
801.1%
6 & below
490.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC327 graded · 54.1% top · 36 Pristine
BGS141 graded · 0% top
SGC30 graded · 46.7% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings242232 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week10▼ 15.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 23Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
44/100Watch

Lisia's Appeal earns a 44/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 27% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Surging Sparks. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 22%
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.8
Scarcity
6.5
Stability
9.0
HyperPotion Premium

See every card priced like this.

3-day free trial · Full boards · Overlays · Fair-Value Lab · Cancel anytime