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Counter Gain — Surging Sparks #249
Pull rate1 in 1,127 packs
Cost to pull~$9,996
Released2024-11

Counter Gain

Surging Sparks · #249 · HR
$1.74fair value $2.97
▼ 41% underPriced below fair value.
Supply SqueezeAvailable listings are drying up. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−20%Sales+17%Listings−13%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$1.77▼ −$1.53 (−46.4%)past 90 days
$2.31$2.83$3.34$1.77
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $1.77 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −74% expected return.Raw $1.74 → PSA 10 $41.99 · 24.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$1.74———High
PSA10$41.9924.1×$49.99 · Jul 10Med
CGC10$10.055.8×$10.50 · Mar 150Low
TAG10$20.5011.8×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate33%
PSA graded282
PSA 10
9333%
PSA 9
15153.5%
PSA 8
3211.3%
PSA 7
00%
6 & below
62.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC44 graded · 31.8% top · 2 Pristine
BGS7 graded · 0% top
SGC1 graded · 100% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings375368 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week18▲ 17.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendclearing · -13%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 9Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
29/100Avoid

Counter Gain earns a 29/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 41% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Surging Sparks. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.1
Scarcity
6.1
Stability
7.9
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