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Night Stretcher — Surging Sparks #251
Pull rate1 in 1,127 packs
Cost to pull~$9,996
Released2024-11

Night Stretcher

Surging Sparks · #251 · HR
$9.05fair value $5.55
▲ 63% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+1%Sales−5%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$9.17▼ −$0.42 (−4.4%)past 90 days
$8.72$9.55$9.96$9.17
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $9.17 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −69% expected return.Raw $9.05 → PSA 10 $61.00 · 6.7×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$9.05———High
PSA10$61.006.7×$61.00 · Oct 81High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.5% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$20.502.3×$20.50 · Apr 270Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$12.461.4×$9.60 · Sep 70Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate32.8%
PSA graded768
PSA 10
25232.8%
PSA 9
40853.1%
PSA 8
9011.7%
PSA 7
141.8%
6 & below
40.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC65 graded · 49.2% top · 6 Pristine
BGS23 graded · 0% top
SGC4 graded · 50% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings234224 sellers · 0% vs 7d
Sold / week15▼ 5.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 8Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
31/100Avoid

Night Stretcher earns a 31/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 63% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Surging Sparks. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.1
Scarcity
6.1
Stability
9.2
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