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Gouging Fire ex — Temporal Forces #204
Pull rate1 in 855 packs
Cost to pull~$8,901
Released2024-03

Gouging Fire ex

Temporal Forces · #204 · SIR
$49.18fair value $45.32
▲ 9% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
CoolingDemand is falling while listings build up. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+3%Sales−27%Listings+10%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$49.18▼ −$8.07 (−14.1%)past 90 days
$52.12$54.52$56.92$49.18
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $49.18 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −31% expected return.Raw $49.18 → PSA 10 $140.00 · 2.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$49.18———High
PSA10$140.002.9×$150.00 · Oct 2616High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 5.8% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$115.202.3×$115.20 · Aug 170Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$78.001.6×$78.00 · Oct 192High
SGC10$100.002.0×$100.00 · Mar 220Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate44.7%
PSA graded5,450
PSA 10
2,43444.7%
PSA 9
2,58147.4%
PSA 8
3636.7%
PSA 7
300.6%
6 & below
420.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC420 graded · 48.3% top · 26 Pristine
BGS96 graded · 0% top
SGC35 graded · 77.1% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings7669 sellers · +10% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 27.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure15% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +10%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 2Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
45/100Fair hold

Gouging Fire ex earns a 45/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 9% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Temporal Forces. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-31%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.9
Scarcity
4.7
Stability
7.0
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