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Morty's Conviction — Temporal Forces #211
Pull rate1 in 855 packs
Cost to pull~$8,901
Released2024-03

Morty's Conviction

Temporal Forces · #211 · SIR
$48.29fair value $92.33
▼ 48% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−13%Sales+55%Listings−5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$48.29▼ −$24.36 (−33.5%)past 90 days
$57$64$71$48.29
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $48.29 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +49% expected return.Raw $48.29 → PSA 10 $380.00 · 7.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$48.29———High
PSA10$380.007.9×$380.00 · Oct 216High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$229.284.8×$230.55 · Oct 252Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$113.752.4×$114.99 · Oct 132High
TAG10$329.996.8×$499.99 · Sep 140Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate39.4%
PSA graded6,036
PSA 10
2,37939.4%
PSA 9
2,99249.6%
PSA 8
5589.2%
PSA 7
611%
6 & below
460.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC403 graded · 53.8% top · 37 Pristine
BGS116 graded · 0% top
SGC36 graded · 52.8% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+191%if it gems≈ $244.98 net per card
Raw cost$48.29
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate39%break-even 19%
Slab market$380.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1039%$373.27PSA 950%$75.99PSA 89%$57.007 or lower2%$48.29
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $190.87 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 39% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings8579 sellers · +5% vs 7d
Sold / week12▲ 54.5% vs 30d
Demand pressure14% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 3Oct 24
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
51/100Fair hold

Morty's Conviction earns a 51/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 48% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Temporal Forces. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 40% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 13%
Grading edge+40%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.7
Scarcity
5.4
Stability
6.8
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