Skip to main content
HyperPotion
Poltchageist — Twilight Masquerade #171
Pull rate1 in 272 packs
Cost to pull~$2,576
Released2024-05

Poltchageist

Twilight Masquerade · #171 · IR
$4.94fair value $5.18
▼ 5% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+14%Sales0%Listings+5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trial

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$4.85▼ −$1.18 (−19.6%)past 90 days
$5.29$5.75$6.21$4.85
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.85 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −56% expected return.Raw $4.94 → PSA 10 $68.29 · 13.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.94———High
PSA10$68.2913.8×$74.00 · Oct 141High
CGC10$16.003.2×$15.60 · Oct 121High
TAG10$49.9910.1×$49.99 · Feb 90Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate46.2%
PSA graded1,068
PSA 10
49346.2%
PSA 9
47444.4%
PSA 8
908.4%
PSA 7
90.8%
6 & below
20.2%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC327 graded · 58.4% top · 33 Pristine
BGS14 graded · 0% top
SGC6 graded · 0% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings261252 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week12• 0.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 17Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
29/100Avoid

Poltchageist earns a 29/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 5% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-60%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.6
Scarcity
4.6
Stability
6.8
HyperPotion Premium

See every card priced like this.

3-day free trial · Full boards · Overlays · Fair-Value Lab · Cancel anytime