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Heliolisk — Twilight Masquerade #177
Pull rate1 in 272 packs
Cost to pull~$2,576
Released2024-05

Heliolisk

Twilight Masquerade · #177 · IR
$4.51fair value $3.82
▲ 18% overPriced above fair value.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+18%Sales+4%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$4.66▼ −$0.27 (−5.5%)past 90 days
$4.26$4.89$5.51$6.14$4.66
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.66 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −56% expected return.Raw $4.51 → PSA 10 $67.77 · 15.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.51———High
PSA10$67.7715.0×$71.50 · Sep 180High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 4.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$52.4011.6×$70.00 · Aug 160Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$20.004.4×$12.00 · Oct 123High
TAG10$50.0011.1×$50.00 · May 170Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate42.1%
PSA graded677
PSA 10
28542.1%
PSA 9
32447.9%
PSA 8
619%
PSA 7
50.7%
6 & below
20.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC303 graded · 46.5% top · 14 Pristine
BGS9 graded · 0% top
SGC2 graded · 0% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings298285 sellers · -1% vs 7d
Sold / week10▲ 4.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 10Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
27/100Avoid

Heliolisk earns a 27/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 18% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-63%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.2
Scarcity
5.0
Stability
7.3
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