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Probopass — Twilight Masquerade #182
Pull rate1 in 272 packs
Cost to pull~$2,576
Released2024-05

Probopass

Twilight Masquerade · #182 · IR
$4.07fair value $5.12
▼ 21% underPriced below fair value.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+14%Sales+23%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$3.99▼ −$0.55 (−12.1%)past 90 days
$3.44$4.48$5.00$3.99
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $3.99 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −46% expected return.Raw $4.07 → PSA 10 $76.90 · 18.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.07———High
PSA10$76.9018.9×$65.00 · Oct 183High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.7% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$42.0010.3×$37.95 · Jul 310Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$18.004.4×$21.00 · Oct 162High
ACE10$45.5111.2×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate46.3%
PSA graded983
PSA 10
45546.3%
PSA 9
45546.3%
PSA 8
555.6%
PSA 7
151.5%
6 & below
30.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC359 graded · 51.5% top · 34 Pristine
BGS21 graded · 0% top
SGC8 graded · 37.5% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings314296 sellers · +0% vs 7d
Sold / week13▲ 23.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 21Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
27/100Avoid

Probopass earns a 27/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 21% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-55%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.3
Scarcity
4.5
Stability
7.5
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