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Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex — Twilight Masquerade #192
Pull rate1 in 318 packs
Cost to pull~$3,011
Released2024-05

Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex

Twilight Masquerade · #192 · UR
$2.12fair value $2.47
▼ 14% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+16%Sales−53%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$2.24▲ +$0.16 (+7.7%)past 90 days
$2.12$2.46$2.63$2.24
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.24 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −71% expected return.Raw $2.12 → PSA 10 $51.50 · 24.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.12———High
PSA10$51.5024.3×$59.99 · Jun 210Med
CGC10$17.748.4×$25.00 · Oct 80Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate34.9%
PSA graded637
PSA 10
22234.9%
PSA 9
34954.8%
PSA 8
528.2%
PSA 7
81.3%
6 & below
60.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC230 graded · 56.5% top · 15 Pristine
BGS15 graded · 0% top
SGC8 graded · 37.5% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings272268 sellers · -6% vs 7d
Sold / week16▼ 53.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 10Oct 25
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
28/100Avoid

Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex earns a 28/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 14% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-76%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
0.8
Scarcity
5.9
Stability
8.2
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