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Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex

Prismatic Evolutions · #148 · SIR

Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex — Prismatic Evolutions #148

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$17.25

DISCOUNT −15%

Modeled fair value $20.29

Priced below fair value.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Stable No material movement in price, demand, or supply.

Listings +5% · Price 0%

Pull rate1 in 1,440 packs
Cost to pull~$20,693
Released2025-01
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

FAvoid
30-Day Move
-8%
Grading Edge
-56%
Time Window
30d

Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex earns a 33/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 15% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Prismatic Evolutions by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    1.5
  • Scarcity
    6.0
  • Stability
    8.7

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 6 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $110.00 · Sep 4, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$17.25
High0 sold · 30dlast $26 · Sep 2
PSA logo10$92.295.3×
High3 sold · 30dlast $110 · Sep 4
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $54.993.2×
Med1 sold · 30dlast $55 · Aug 31
TAG logo10$89.955.2×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $90 · Jan 3

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate33.9%
Graded1,596
  • PSA 1054133.9%
  • PSA 981951.3%
  • PSA 820112.6%
  • PSA 7211.3%
  • 6 & below140.9%
Other graders
CGC14845.9% top · 18 Pristine
BGS280% top
SGC90% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer · last 30 days
TCGplayer listings
134
124 TCGplayer sellers · +6% vs 7d
Sold / wk
14
Demand pressure10% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +5%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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