Carmine
Twilight Masquerade · #204 · UR$3.58fair value $3.31
▲ 8% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Market readSimilar cards →
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−25%Sales−3%Listings+2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$3.46▼ −$1.31 (−27.5%)past 90 days
$3.23$3.74$4.26$4.77$3.46
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $3.46 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −64% expected return.Raw $3.58 → PSA 10 $50.00 · 14.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$3.58———High
PSA10$50.0014.0×$32.00 · Sep 272High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 11% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$63.9917.9×$69.99 · Jun 270Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$15.604.4×$11.50 · Aug 250Med
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate49.3%
PSA graded891
PSA 10
43949.3%
PSA 9
38443.1%
PSA 8
485.4%
PSA 7
141.6%
6 & below
60.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC228 graded · 58.3% top · 29 Pristine
BGS25 graded · 0% top
SGC14 graded · 85.7% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings380367 sellers · +4% vs 7d
Sold / week13▼ 2.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 12Oct 24
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
29/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Carmine earns a 29/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 8% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-68%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.6
Scarcity
4.2
Stability
7.3
