Kieran
Twilight Masquerade · #206 · UR$3.82fair value $2.39
▲ 60% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+25%Sales−25%Listings+4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$3.82▼ −$0.13 (−3.3%)past 90 days
$3.61$4.19$4.76$5.34$3.82
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $3.82 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −65% expected return.Raw $3.82 → PSA 10 $49.97 · 13.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$3.82———High
PSA10$49.9713.1×$49.99 · Sep 161High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 11% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$20.005.2×$45.00 · Jun 270Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$14.103.7×$15.00 · Sep 80Med
TAG10$11.503.0×$11.50 · Feb 30Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate51.7%
PSA graded547
PSA 10
28351.7%
PSA 9
22641.3%
PSA 8
325.9%
PSA 7
20.4%
6 & below
40.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC178 graded · 55.1% top · 22 Pristine
BGS15 graded · 0% top
SGC6 graded · 83.3% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings322315 sellers · +8% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 25.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 16Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
24/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Kieran earns a 24/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 60% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-67%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.1
Scarcity
3.9
Stability
6.9
