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Carmine — Twilight Masquerade #217
Pull rate1 in 941 packs
Cost to pull~$8,911
Released2024-05

Carmine

Twilight Masquerade · #217 · SIR
$42.30fair value $40.49
≈ at fairPriced about right.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−27%Sales−13%Listings−4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$42.30▼ −$12.64 (−23.0%)past 90 days
$47.03$51.06$55.10$42.30
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $42.30 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −25% expected return.Raw $42.30 → PSA 10 $135.16 · 3.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$42.30———High
PSA10$135.163.2×$120.00 · Oct 2619High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 11% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$249.995.9×$300.00 · Jun 200Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$94.502.2×$61.00 · Aug 190High
SGC10$110.002.6×$110.00 · Sep 180Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate48%
PSA graded8,345
PSA 10
4,00748%
PSA 9
3,46341.5%
PSA 8
6968.3%
PSA 7
1121.3%
6 & below
670.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC456 graded · 59.4% top · 59 Pristine
BGS183 graded · 0% top
SGC41 graded · 65.9% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings139133 sellers · -1% vs 7d
Sold / week9.3▼ 13.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 16Oct 21
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
46/100Fair hold

Carmine earns a 46/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 4% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 17%
Grading edge-29%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.9
Scarcity
4.3
Stability
8.2
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