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Oshawott — White Flare #105
Pull rate1 in 848 packs
Cost to pull~$11,406
Released2025-07

Oshawott

White Flare · #105 · IR
$71.31fair value $80.75
▼ 12% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−11%Sales+29%Listings−6%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$71.31▼ −$22.47 (−24.0%)past 90 days
$79$86$93$71.31
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $71.31 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +27% expected return.Raw $71.31 → PSA 10 $950.00 · 13.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$71.31———High
PSA10$950.0013.3×$950.00 · Oct 253High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 4.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$900.0012.6×$1,050.00 · Jul 310Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$94.181.3×$150.00 · Oct 271High
SGC10$100.801.4×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate14.8%
PSA graded3,098
PSA 10
45814.8%
PSA 9
1,78557.6%
PSA 8
73623.8%
PSA 7
1003.2%
6 & below
190.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC152 graded · 44.7% top · 7 Pristine
BGS71 graded · 0% top
SGC4 graded · 25% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+505%if it gems≈ $764.62 net per card
Raw cost$71.31
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate15%break-even 10%
Slab market$950.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1015%$915.93PSA 958%$76.38PSA 824%$46.757 or lower4%$46.75
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $192.45 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 15% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings108103 sellers · +13% vs 7d
Sold / week7.3▲ 28.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -6%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Jul 31Oct 24
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
64/100Solid hold

Oshawott earns a 64/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 12% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in White Flare. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 33% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 19%
Grading edge+33%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.8
Scarcity
9.8
Stability
5.1
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