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Reshiram ex — White Flare #166
Pull rate1 in 1,120 packs
Cost to pull~$15,064
Released2025-07

Reshiram ex

White Flare · #166 · SIR
$157.15fair value $129.61
▲ 21% overPriced above fair value.
Supply BuildingListings are piling up faster than they sell. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−15%Sales−20%Listings+15%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$160.50▼ −$52.67 (−24.7%)past 90 days
$180$195$211$160.50
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $160.50 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +10% expected return.Raw $157.15 → PSA 10 $379.37 · 2.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$157.15———High
PSA10$379.372.4×$357.50 · Oct 2738High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 20% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$491.003.1×$399.99 · Sep 210High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$223.001.4×$138.00 · Oct 265High
BGS10$690.004.4×$1,326.01 · Sep 200Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate54.4%
PSA graded10,352
PSA 10
5,62854.4%
PSA 9
4,00838.7%
PSA 8
5645.4%
PSA 7
1011%
6 & below
510.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC365 graded · 57% top · 89 Pristine
BGS333 graded · 0% top
SGC7 graded · 28.6% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+54%if it gems≈ $128.61 net per card
Raw cost$157.15
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate54%break-even 44%
Slab market$379.37
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1054%$365.76PSA 939%$137.36PSA 85%$137.367 or lower1%$130.50
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $261.51 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 54% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings8173 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week5.5▼ 20.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendbuilding · +15%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Jul 31Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B
55/100Solid hold

Reshiram ex earns a 55/100 investment score and a B grade (solid hold). It's trading 21% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in White Flare. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 17% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 15%
Grading edge+17%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.8
Scarcity
3.6
Stability
6.9
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