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Victini — Black Bolt #171
Pull rate1 in 800 packs
Cost to pull~$11,280
Released2025-07

Victini

Black Bolt · #171 · BWR
$622.40fair value $540.30
▲ 15% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−32%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$622.40▲ +$17.52 (+2.9%)past 90 days
$605$612$619$626$622.40
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $622.40 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +21% expected return.Raw $622.40 → PSA 10 $1,275.00 · 2.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$622.40———High
PSA10$1,275.002.0×$1,288.00 · Oct 2324High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 12% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$1,500.002.4×$1,235.00 · Oct 102Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$667.501.1×$687.00 · Sep 273High
TAG10$999.501.6×$1,499.00 · Aug 300High
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate48.6%
PSA graded6,194
PSA 10
3,01148.6%
PSA 9
2,75344.4%
PSA 8
3605.8%
PSA 7
370.6%
6 & below
330.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC193 graded · 46.1% top · 27 Pristine
BGS269 graded · 0% top
SGC4 graded · 0% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+75%if it gems≈ $526.87 net per card
Raw cost$622.40
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate49%break-even 29%
Slab market$1,275.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1049%$1,229.27PSA 944%$490.50PSA 86%$490.507 or lower1%$490.50
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $849.54 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 49% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
Sold / week—
Supply shows both venues: eBay active listings + TCGplayer sellers (distinct units, not summed); the supply-trend gauge is eBay-driven for now, with the TCGplayer trend surfacing once its history is reliable, then blending. Sold/wk is TCGplayer; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ eBay active listings (soft → hot) — a relative read, not a literal sell-through. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
69/100Core hold

Victini earns a 69/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 15% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Black Bolt. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 34% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 1%
Grading edge+34%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.1
Scarcity
6.4
Stability
6.3
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