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Victini — White Flare #172
Pull rate1 in 800 packs
Cost to pull~$10,760
Released2025-07

Victini

White Flare · #172 · BWR
$536.82fair value $493.62
▲ 9% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+4%Listings−5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$541.16▼ −$14.18 (−2.6%)past 90 days
$551$559$567$541.16
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $541.16 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +29% expected return.Raw $536.82 → PSA 10 $1,175.00 · 2.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$536.82———High
PSA10$1,175.002.2×$1,175.00 · Oct 2634High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 10% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$1,230.002.3×$2,999.99 · Oct 11Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$630.001.2×$699.00 · Oct 232High
BGS10$2,499.504.7×$2,061.92 · Aug 300Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate48.9%
PSA graded5,728
PSA 10
2,80148.9%
PSA 9
2,51643.9%
PSA 8
3065.3%
PSA 7
480.8%
6 & below
571%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC177 graded · 44.1% top · 20 Pristine
BGS241 graded · 0% top
SGC1 graded · 100% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+84%if it gems≈ $516.04 net per card
Raw cost$536.82
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate49%break-even 22%
Slab market$1,175.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1049%$1,132.86PSA 944%$475.00PSA 85%$443.507 or lower2%$443.50
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $794.42 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 49% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings2521 sellers · +5% vs 7d
Sold / week1.8
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 3Oct 22
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
65/100Solid hold

Victini earns a 65/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 9% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in White Flare. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 38% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 3%
Grading edge+38%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.6
Scarcity
6.2
Stability
6.7
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