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Mystery Garden — Mega Evolution #172
Pull rate1 in 267 packs
Cost to pull~$2,419
Released2025-09

Mystery Garden

Mega Evolution · #172 · UR
$0.83fair value $1.19
▼ 30% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Mixed SignalsThe signals conflict, no clear read right now. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−20%Sales+47%Listings+10%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$0.84▼ −$0.10 (−10.6%)past 90 days
$0.99$1.10$1.22$0.84
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $0.84 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$0.83———High
PSA10$29.8436.0×$37.20 · Oct 191High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 25% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$29.9936.1×$29.99 · Jun 280Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$10.8013.0×$9.60 · Oct 192High
TAG10$31.5038.0×$32.99 · May 130Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate55.9%
PSA graded406
PSA 10
22755.9%
PSA 9
14435.5%
PSA 8
286.9%
PSA 7
51.2%
6 & below
20.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC83 graded · 61.4% top · 27 Pristine
BGS16 graded · 0% top
SGC2 graded · 50% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings672650 sellers · 0% vs 7d
Sold / week33▲ 47.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +10%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 28Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
23/100Avoid

Mystery Garden earns a 23/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 30% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Mega Evolution. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.2
Scarcity
3.5
Stability
6.0
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