Mega Lucario ex
Mega Evolution · #179 · SIR$161.77fair value $134.21
▲ 21% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−21%Sales−62%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$161.77▼ −$49.98 (−23.6%)past 90 days
$180$194$209$161.77
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $161.77 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +5% expected return.Raw $161.77 → PSA 10 $324.75 · 2.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$161.77———High
PSA10$324.752.0×$338.63 · Oct 27141High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 28% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$420.002.6×$327.50 · Oct 186High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$210.001.3×$173.50 · Oct 265High
BGS10$725.004.5×$515.00 · Oct 183High
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate64.3%
PSA graded21,491
PSA 10
13,80864.3%
PSA 9
6,60630.7%
PSA 8
8433.9%
PSA 7
1100.5%
6 & below
1240.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC544 graded · 64.5% top · 207 Pristine
BGS705 graded · 0% top
SGC11 graded · 63.6% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings149144 sellers · +1% vs 7d
Sold / week10▼ 61.5% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 6Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
B
56/100Solid hold
S+SABCDF
Mega Lucario ex earns a 56/100 investment score and a B grade (solid hold). It's trading 21% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Mega Evolution. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 10% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 9%
Grading edge+10%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.3
Scarcity
2.5
Stability
6.1
