Mega Lucario ex
Mega Evolution · #188 · MHR$206.73fair value $193.17
▲ 7% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−25%Sales+29%Listings+2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$206.73▼ −$67.06 (−24.5%)past 90 days
$231$251$270$206.73
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $206.73 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +2% expected return.Raw $206.73 → PSA 10 $649.99 · 3.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$206.73———High
PSA10$649.993.1×$564.00 · Oct 2633High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 9.0% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$1,000.004.8×$630.00 · Oct 122High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$373.501.8×$232.50 · Oct 111High
TAG10$750.003.6×$899.00 · Oct 182High
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate26.1%
PSA graded10,697
PSA 10
2,79526.1%
PSA 9
5,29149.5%
PSA 8
2,17420.3%
PSA 7
3203%
6 & below
1171.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC382 graded · 35.6% top · 38 Pristine
BGS441 graded · 0% top
SGC4 graded · 50% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings10186 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week7.8▲ 28.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 5Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
68/100Core hold
S+SABCDF
Mega Lucario ex earns a 68/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's trading 7% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Mega Evolution. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 12% ROI. It trades thinly.
30-day move▼ 15%
Grading edge+12%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
6.6
Scarcity
7.5
Stability
6.8
