Basic Water Energy
Paldea Evolved · #279 · HR$7.78fair value $6.15
▲ 27% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−11%Sales−55%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$7.64▼ −$3.59 (−32.0%)past 90 days
$8.92$10.00$11.09$7.64
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $7.64 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −65% expected return.Raw $7.78 → PSA 10 $46.94 · 6.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$7.78———High
PSA10$46.946.0×$44.99 · Oct 21High
CGC10$16.802.2×$16.80 · Oct 51Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate52.8%
PSA graded400
PSA 10
21152.8%
PSA 9
14536.3%
PSA 8
287%
PSA 7
51.3%
6 & below
112.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC106 graded · 43.4% top · 2 Pristine
BGS11 graded · 0% top
SGC15 graded · 40% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings175166 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week14▼ 54.5% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 20Oct 24
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
26/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Basic Water Energy earns a 26/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 27% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Paldea Evolved. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-68%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.4
Scarcity
3.8
Stability
6.8
