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Chien-Pao ex — Paldea Evolved #274
Pull rate1 in 512 packs
Cost to pull~$8,228
Released2023-06

Chien-Pao ex

Paldea Evolved · #274 · HR
$6.27fair value $6.08
≈ at fairPriced about right.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+5%Sales−9%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$6.23▼ −$0.12 (−1.9%)past 90 days
$6.44$6.75$7.05$6.23
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $6.23 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −59% expected return.Raw $6.27 → PSA 10 $54.13 · 8.6×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$6.27———High
PSA10$54.138.6×$50.00 · Oct 111High
CGC10$18.753.0×$30.00 · Oct 241Med
SGC10$15.002.4×$15.00 · Sep 140Low
TAG10$55.008.8×$55.00 · May 140Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate48.7%
PSA graded956
PSA 10
46648.7%
PSA 9
40141.9%
PSA 8
717.4%
PSA 7
101%
6 & below
80.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC287 graded · 42.5% top · 16 Pristine
BGS27 graded · 0% top
SGC51 graded · 49% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings160157 sellers · +5% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 9.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 12Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
31/100Avoid

Chien-Pao ex earns a 31/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 3% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Paldea Evolved. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-66%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.6
Scarcity
4.3
Stability
8.8
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